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Fed chair Powell’s dovish tone ignites market optimism, triggers dollar plunge

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average reached unprecedented heights on Wednesday, surging 1.4 percent and crossing the monumental 37,000-point mark for the first time in history.

This monumental climb came as the federal reserve, led by Chair Jerome Powell, hinted at a shift towards a more accommodative stance with expectations of interest rate cuts in 2024.

Acknowledging the current economic landscape, Powell emphasized that the Fed believes “we are likely at or near the peak rate for this cycle.”

This revelation, coupled with projections suggesting three interest rate cuts in the coming year, prompted market observers to label the decision as notably “dovish.”

While the Fed kept interest rates steady, the Dow’s remarkable ascent showcased investors’ positive response.

“Additional rate hikes no longer appear to be part of the conversation. It is all about the pace of cuts from here,” remarked Mike Fratantoni, Chief Economist for the Mortgage Bankers Association, emphasizing the positive impact on housing and mortgage markets.

Simultaneously, the US dollar experienced a sharp decline, falling 1.7 percent against the Japanese yen.

Analysts noted that Powell’s dovish tone mirrored the strongest since the current hiking cycle began, prompting strategic shifts in gold prices and raising expectations for further increases if similar sentiments are echoed by the European Central Bank and the Bank of England.

Market fluctuations were not confined to the US, as European markets grappled with mixed fortunes. Despite worse-than-expected contraction in the UK’s monthly economic output, Frankfurt managed to minimize losses following a last-minute budget deal.

In Asia, Tokyo, Sydney, and Wellington experienced gains, while Hong Kong, Shanghai, and Bangkok faced declines.

Meanwhile, oil prices rebounded after hitting six-month lows, spurred by a US inventory report revealing lower crude stockpiles compared to the previous week.

The market now awaits crucial meetings of the European Central Bank and Bank of England to gauge the broader global economic sentiment.

The record-breaking Dow surge, coupled with the Fed’s cautious stance, sets the stage for a dynamic market landscape, creating opportunities and challenges for investors worldwide.

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